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Home Cultural Issues Government Issues Covid Failed COVID-19 Models Show We Need a More Targeted Approach: Rob Bluey on Newsmax
Covid

Failed COVID-19 Models Show We Need a More Targeted Approach: Rob Bluey on Newsmax

June 17, 2020
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Rob Bluey joined Newsmax on June 16, 2020 to discuss how The Imperial College model fails the test of robustness, and it fails miserably. The model was not made publicly available, and after parts of it were, numerous problems were found including lack of reproductive and numerous errors. Sadly, its model was one of the inputs relied on as the basis for locking down two countries.

Heritage researchers used a publicly availability model to illustrate wide range of results that these models produce when users make reasonable changes to just some of the many assumptions that the models require.

For example, under reasonable ranges of the rates of communicability of COVID-19, estimates of mortality have varied since our April analysis, ranging from 44,000 dead to 1.05 million dead by August 1st. Estimates diverge considerably based on other assumptions as well.

While statistical models can be useful tools for tracking COVID-19, they are only as accurate as the input assumptions, which depend on continually changing data. Models used to make policy decisions should be made publicly available, have assumptions clearly stated, and have their robustness to changes to these assumptions tested.

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Tags anthony faucicdccenter for disease controlchinacoronaviruscoronavirus task forcecovidcovid-19cuomoDCdonald trumpflatten the curveImperial collegeimperial college londonitalymike pencemodelNew YorkRob Blueyslow the spreadstop the spreadtargetingtestingthe heritage foundationtreatmentwhoworld health organizationwuhan
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11 Comments

  1. @TheHeritageFoundation says:
    June 17, 2020 at 1:46 pm

    Don't forget to subscribe! Just click the bell icon, or here: https://bit.ly/2otKliy

    Log in to Reply
  2. @je4270 says:
    June 17, 2020 at 11:48 am

    Scientists are incentivized to push exaggerated claims for fame and funding.

    Log in to Reply
  3. @BringItOutIsRaelites says:
    June 17, 2020 at 11:13 am

    He should be investigated for sure… As in Bank accounts, any current and future Grants…

    Log in to Reply
  4. @longbone6416 says:
    June 17, 2020 at 10:22 am

    Freedom from flu fear false flags….fearmongers

    Log in to Reply
  5. @longbone6416 says:
    June 17, 2020 at 10:21 am

    If you buy bs you will be forced to eat it

    Log in to Reply
  6. @Longeno55 says:
    June 17, 2020 at 3:04 am

    The way I see it. Some idiots/corrupt “scientists” put out inaccurate and/or false information about the Covid 19 virus that prompted more idiots/corrupt politicians to force people to stay home, shut down and destroy businesses and caused a global economic crash that was not necessary!

    Log in to Reply
  7. @willskol says:
    June 17, 2020 at 2:09 am

    Had New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Minnesota, Washington, Oregon, California and possibly Illinois not put sick Covid patients into nursing homes the death toll would probably been significantly lower.

    Log in to Reply
  8. @audreywong8727 says:
    June 17, 2020 at 1:03 am

    What is the probability the modelers receive financial incentives from Totalitarians to create fear propaganda tactics?

    Log in to Reply
  9. @cjk6736 says:
    June 17, 2020 at 12:33 am

    Was he friends with Christopher Steele, another British who has ravaged the US with his "abilities"?

    Log in to Reply
  10. @0Marl1 says:
    June 17, 2020 at 12:26 am

    Daily's??? talk about food for intellectuals… Heritage…I think I found a name for my compost bin.

    Log in to Reply
  11. @stevenwilliams6848 says:
    June 17, 2020 at 12:23 am

    Thanks for the TRUTH!!!

    Log in to Reply

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